My credits are forty one years in Meteorology, Oceanography, Tropical Support and includes my Naval Career as a NEC7412 Forecaster
and included as an Aviation Forecaster in Meteorology for a private company with U.S. Goverment. "Leo's Tropical Thesis
for Hurricane Season 2025:" The analysis and interpreting Ocean surface temperatures and currents are important essential
in a Tropical Prognostics for Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Capability in acurate analysis and forecasting Upper
Level Atmospheric Dynamic Wind Patterns:"My career and in understanding tropical historic datum, satellite spectrum
imagery and hands on knowledge to accurately analyze Tropical Cyclone development enables me too sharply forecast each individual
cyclones forecasted path to a reasonable time frame 5 days max! The experience and acumen acquired in Tropical Forecasting
is not a one time forecast but updates to the Threats movement to forecasted landfall! My Area of Interest; Atlantic Ocean,
Caribbean Sea, Gulf of America and Bay Of Campeche! No Scientist, Climatologist, Meteorologist or N.H.C. Meteorologist can
be so accurate to forecast actual seasonal numbers or each number of intensities is absurd! Voodu weather prior any Tropical
Cyclone prior Hurricane Season. However the unique understanding of the Ocean Currents and Upper Level Shear in these regions
enable a Professional Meteorologists to plan, forecast and review the cycle of birth of past climatological history for Tropical
Storms based on El Nino, La Nina and ENSO phenomena patterns. Hurricane Season 2025 shows La Nina gradually weakening in mid
latitudes for upper wind shear potentially end of May and early June 2025. I see little major forecasted threat for Gulf of
America, Bay of Campechee and Southwestern Cartibbean Sea for june into early July. Atlantic Coastal States Region NIL! The
month starting in July 2025 will show a majority of maximum of Tropical Development from the Canary Islands and moving rapidly
to the Southern Caribbean Sea with slight chance of Texas being potentially hit in late July 2025. Tropical Cyclones will
show a gradual increase for late July, August and September near the Canary Islands and into the Southern Caribbean Sea then
previous years. Reason trade wind flow will be dominate being La Nina and El Nino weakened from previous several years! Southern
Texas would be a moderate threat for Hurricanes in late July 2025. August into September 2025 will show increase of a moderate
increase for Southern Florida into Texas, Louisianna and Mississippi. Late August into September 2025 will shift into Strong
potential Higher risk in all of the Gulf of America and Eastern atlantic coastal States. October and November 2025 region
of threats will major shift to Central Florida and Eastern Atlantic States. Reason would be Hurricanes riding the Bermuda
High ridge access along the Eastern Atlantic States. The number of Tropical Cyclones will increase along the Eastern USA in
October to November 2025. Expect major increase in damages to increased Heavy Flooding for Eastern Atlantic coast threat areas
due to numerous cyclones following this pattern for October and Novrember 2025. A major importance of understanding an increase or decrease in Tropical Activity in areas along the US East Coast,
and Gulf of America is dependent on La Nina weakening in June 2025 and El Nino regaining some potential strength for Eastern
Pacific Ocean by late by August 2025. Please click on Chris Farley animation below to reference El Nino phenomenon!
"CLICK Chris Farley for EL Nino above
|